Linkfest:December 04,2014
Some stuff I am reading today morning:
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: By 2030,Nifty will hit 125,000 (ET)
The Trader’s journey-The Hero’s journey (MarketMasters)
How Bill Gross lost an empire (Mint)
Circle of competence (Prashant)
Questioning the value of endowments (Swedroe)
A crowd valuation of Uber (AswathDamodaran)
The investor American CEOs fear the most (Fortune)
Choosing the best India ETF is complex (ETF)
Who is in your scene? (James Altucher)
Can you select long term fund winners?Can you keep them? (TRB)
Warren Buffett on EBITDA
“Trumpeting EBITDA is a particularly pernicious practice. Doing so implies that depreciation is not truly an expense, given that it is a “non-cash” charge. That’s nonsense. In truth, depreciation is a particularly unattractive expense because the cash outlay it represents is paid upfront, before the asset acquired has delivered any benefits to the business. Imagine, if you will, that at the beginning of this year a company paid all of its employees for the next ten years of their service. In the following nine years, compensation would be a “non-cash” expense- a reduction of a pre paid compensation asset established this year. Would anyone care to argue that the recording of the expense in years two through ten would be simply a bookkeeping formality?”-wrote Warren Buffett
PSU Banks Zindabad
Must be real bad when even the foreigners say NO to debt issues of Reliance Communications & Lodha builders. PSU Banks zindabad.
— R. Balakrishnan (@BalakrishnanR) December 3, 2014
Attended the AVCJ Private Equity Conference today as well
Here were the key takeaways:
Rajesh Srivastava,Chairman & MD Rabo Equity Advisors
- Can vouch things are changing for the better in government
- Earlier, has to answer “Why India” to foreign investors.Now this Q is no longer being asked
Srinath Srinivasan,CEO,Oman India Joint Investment Fund
- Investee companies still to benefit from change in government
- Benefits will trickle down in 18-24 months
- Can confidently say that the heart of the government is in the right place
Mohit Ralhan,Managing Partner,TIW Private Equity
- 2 fundamental changes in India
- Real interest rates in India are now positive
- Cash is balance sheets of large companies are greater than that in 2007
- This can act as a spur to savings and capex cycle
- Promoters don’t give illiquidity discount in India
- Prefer share repurchases as an exit option
Ruby Arya,Vice-Chairman & Director,Milestone Capital Advisors
- Real estate can give 2x returns not multibaggers
- On the flip side, unlikely investors will lose money in real estate unlike equity
- 14 Billion US $ has come in real estate via PE
- Easier to exit in Real Estate
Sanjay Kukreja,MD,ChrysCapital
- 47 exits since inception
- Exits possible only in a few sectors where liquidity exists
- Financial Services
- Pharma
- Business Services etc
- Exits v difficult in other sectors such as
- Power
- Infra
- Manufacturing etc
Ameera Shah,MD & CEO,Metropolis Healthcare
- Most PE firms can’t add value in terms of business growth and profit margins
- Can add value in
- Corporate Governance
- Data Analytics
- Dislike the following about PE firms
- Unable to state clearly how they are different from others
- Unable to state clearly if their returns are coming at entrepreneur’s cost
- Unwilling to put in the same effort/time for their smaller ticket investments as compared to their bigger investments
Pramod Bhasin,Founder & Vice-Chairman Genpact
- PE firms can help in the following areas:
- Board Formation
- Compensation Practices
- Strategy
- Connecting with potential clients
- Advice for PE firms
- Get operational expertise
- Stay in for the long term-don’t exit early
Sanjay Aga,Director,Mahindra Logistics
- PE firms in India have little operational expertise
- Hence unable to identify which companies/sectors can do well
- Hence indulge in “herd like” momentum investiing
Nupur Garg,Regional Lead-PE Funds,IFC
- Performance of Indian PE has been poor as compared to China
- As per Cambridge Associates.
- Over 10 year period,Indian PE funds have returned 12% Gross IRR while China returned 24% Gross IRR
- Over 5 year period,Indian PE funds have returned 5% Gross IRR while China returned 25.5% Gross IRR
- Over 3 year period,Indian PE funds have returned -2.9% Gross IRR while China returned 14% Gross IRR