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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly:Goldman Sachs Edition

Hat Tip:Bala

Around a year back,on 4 December 2014,the following article came in ET:

Top US brokerage Goldman Sachs today said it is bullish on India and sees Nifty hitting 9,500 -mark by end-2015 due to strong capital inflows in the country which is expected to become fastest-growing large emerging market economy in the 2016-18 period.

“We stay overweight on cyclical recovery and reform progress and expects Nifty to reach 9,500 at end-2015,” Goldman Sachs Chief Asia Pacific Regional Equity Strategist Timothy Moe told reporters here

The 50-share NSE benchmark index today ended at 8,564. “We forecast a large balance of payments surplus in 2015 driven by a narrowing of the current account deficit and strong capital inflows. We forecast mid-teens earnings growth in 2015-16 largely driven by banks, IT and a few cyclical sectors,” he said.

Forecasting Folly,anyone?

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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly: Equirus Edition

In the Business India edition dated Oct 26-Nov 8,2015, Pankaj Sharma of Equirus made the following statement:

 

(Source:Safir)

Subsequently,on Nov 6,2015, Dr.Reddy’s Labs received a warning letter from the United States Food and Drug Administration regarding its manufacturing facilities.

This caused the stock price to crash losing 15% in the next couple of days & eroding more than 10,000 Crores in market cap.

Forecasting Folly,anyone?

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ForecastingFolly Gold

Forecasting Folly: Gold Edition

Source: Funds Reference

79 “experts” make a prediction on gold prices.ALL of them get it wrong.

Forecasting Folly,anyone?

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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly:Jim Rogers Edition

Forecasting Folly,anyone ?

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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly:Goldman Sachs Edition

Around a year back, Dalal Street’s finest at Goldman Sachs came out with a list of “high conviction” picks.

Leading the recommendations was that poster boy of Corporate Governance-DLF which was then quoting at 167 Rs/share.

Goldman Sachs gave DLF a target price of Rs.292 to be hit in the next 12 months-a potential upside of 74.5%

Yesterday,DLF closed at Rs.120.7 per share.

Forecasting Folly, anyone?