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Notes from AVCJ Private Equity Conference – Day 1

Attended the AVCJ Private Equity Conference yesterday

Here were the key takeaways:

Dr.Samiran Chakraborty,MD,Global Research,Standard Chartered

  • Rupee is undervalued by at least 10%
  • Growth recovery in India is 6-12 months away
  • Inflation will be lower next year-expect a 50-100 bps rate cut next year
  • Three stabilities-Macro,Economic and Currency-are coming together for India
  • 2015 is a year for India to lose-turnaround year for India

Sanjay Nayar,CEO,KKR India

  • 30$-40$ Billion of exits are pending in India
  • Reasons why PE in India are struggling
    • Poor Macro-Political uncertainty,currency volatility etc
    • Poor Micro-Management etc
    • Overpaid for assets
    • Much lesser influence on management
    • Lack of exits

Shankar Narayanan,MD,The Carlyle Group

  • In India, What you see is not what you get
  • Don’t invest in turnarounds as don’t believe toads can become princes
  • Two attributes to watch in an entreprenur
    • Drive/Hunger to succeed
    • Integrity
      • With respect to how he treats you as a partner
      • With respect to laws etc

Gopal Jain,Managing Partner,Gaja Capital

  • Dislike politicians.Don’t rely on them for doing the right thing
  • Focus on defensive demand, not discretionary demand
  • 90% of capital in PE in India is from global investors
  • Obsession with promoters is going away
  • Good promoters are in short supply and they know that

Renuka Ramnath,Founder & CEO,Multiples Alternate Asset Management

  • By 2020,India will be a $ 4 Trillion economy
  • The PE industry will be around 100 Billion $
  • Expect reverse flow of capital from listed to unlisted via delisting/demerger and M&A
  • Expect more of secondaries going forward

Peter Casey,Executive Chairman,Claddagh Resources

  • Commandments for Entrepreneurs
    • Get your loved ones on board
    • Listen to your inner voice and the messages the Universe is sending you
    • Don’t fear failure
    • Get a Mentor
    • Prepare to fail, because there is a good chance you will.Leave a little fuel in your tank
    • Do the right thing,don’t take shortcuts
  • Discipline is the horse that you have to ride

Niren Shah,MD,Norwest Venture Partners

  • Betting on Internet and Mobile in India
  • For an online classifieds investment,70% of ads now come from Mobile
  • Never sell anybody a lemon because they will not do business with you again

Pradeep Tagare,Director,Intel Capital India

  • Indian startup ecosystem is still evolving
  • Exits are almost non-existent
  • It takes luck to be a good VC in India
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Links

Linkfest:December 03,2014

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

How Gurgaon was built (Mint)

Debt MFs turn attractive (BS)

Shome panel wants govt to tax you on cash withdrawal (FE)

The mother of all bull markets (Prashant)

What is lifestyle creep? (Subramoney)

Beat the average investor by not trying to beat the market (PragCap)

3 simple steps to improve cognitive performance (TraderFeed)

Russian for the exits (WSJ)

Once again, the gold narrative fails (BigPicture)

Central banks likely to stay easy in 2015 (Bloomberg)

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Whats it all about

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Commodities Video

Is $40 Oil Possible?

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Linkfest:December 02,2014

Some stuff that I am reading today morning:

Is oil about to cause a global financial crisis? (Bloomberg)

Crude Oil prices could dip below 40$ a barrel (ET)

Lessons from oil’s Black Friday (MoneyBeat)

Foreign investors scramble for space in mid-caps (BS)

Amit Shah Vs Mamta Didi (Firstpost)

Bharat Bill Payment System-Now pay all your bills at one point (BasuNivesh)

Evergreen lessons from Buffett and Munger (IrrelevantInvestor)

Bad habits of unprofitable traders (BigPicture)

10 best Steve Jobs emails (CNNMoney)

The Litter Mafia and the extraneous noise (MediaCrooks)