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Anecdotes

Raamdeo Agrawal’s famous investment in Hero Honda

Raamdeo Agrawal’s bet on Hero MotoCorp (then Hero Honda) is market legend. In 1995, he invested around Rs 10 lakh in the shares of the two-wheeler manufacturer at Rs 30 apiece, and held on to them for the next 20 years, till the share price rose to Rs 2,600 apiece. When he sold out in 2015, his holding in Hero MotoCorp was earning him Rs 3-4 crore annually in dividend income alone. What makes this all the more noteworthy is that the rise was peppered with many dull periods.

Between March 2000 and March 2003, for instance, the stock did not budge from around Rs 225 levels. It was the dotcom boom era and non-IT stocks were undervalued. Agrawal stayed invested because of his faith in the Munjals, the promoters of Hero MotoCorp.

Again, in March 2011, many investors saw little value in the Hero stock after it parted ways with Honda Motor Company, ending a 20-year joint venture with the Japanese company. Agrawal was the contrarian. He knew Hero MotoCorp would lose its market share a tad, but he was sure the company would remain the leader in the two-wheeler segment. His confidence was validated: Between 2011 and 2015, the stock moved up by 13 percent annually. Though he has sold Hero MotoCorp from his personal portfolio, it is still a part of Motilal Oswal’s PMS schemes.-from Forbes

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Tweets

Denial

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Excerpts

Dhirubhai Ambani’s Plan to Save India

And become the world’s richest man doing it.

Context:

In June 1991,India is undergoing an economic crisis with foreign exchange reserves just enough to pay for 2 weeks for imports.

PM Narasimha Rao is contemplating removing the economic shackles and reducing state control to liberalize and rescue the economy.

In the lead-up to the historic 1991 Budget, he meets industrialists including Dhirubhai Ambani.

Excerpt:

In Rao’s archives lies a printed letter in light brown paper.While unsigned,on the top right corner,in Rao’s precise handwriting, is the word ‘Dhirubhai’.The letter begins by referring to the fiscal deficit and the balance of payments crisis that India was facing.It does not suggest delicensing or external liberalization as the solution.Instead,it proposes that India raise 16,000 Crore rupees by selling the government’s stake in public sector units.

Such as suggestion would soon be implemented elsewhere.After the disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991,the newly formed Russian republic would opt for large-scale privatization of public sector enterprises.Many of these state assets were purchased at throwaway prices by businessmen with connections to the new government.This Russian-style capitalization was more crony capitalism than genuine liberalization, and Narasimha Rao was being pressured to adopt a similar approach

-from  ‘Half Lion: How P.V. Narasimha Rao transformed India’

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Links

Linkfest: August 09,2016

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

Top 20 Turnaround stories of this Earnings Season (ET)

Disruption will change banking significantly (Nandan Nilekani)

No let up in share pledging by promoters (BL)

Motilal Oswal: The Value Miners (Forbes)

Reflections on Piramal Enterprises (Janav)

Now is the time for an investment holiday (Bala)

How to assess management quality before buying stocks (Dr.Vijay Malik)

What’s coming is going to be a mess (Jim Rogers)

Girls ! Pay attention to a guy’s house instead of his car (FS)

To get rich,sell something (BI)

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Video

Modi explains GST

Looks like Modi is determined to push 1.3 Billion Indians kicking and screaming into a transparent taxation regime.#Respect