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Obituary

RIP Amitabh Parekh

Amitabh Parekh of Parekh Aluminex is no more.

Amitabh was a dynamic visionary who started from scratch and took his company to 1370 Crores in revenues (FY2012)

I was one of the investors fortunate to be part of his entrepreneurial journey and was amply rewarded (like countless others) by fantastic returns from Paral.

The most saddening aspect of his demise was that he died very young.He was born on 8 March 1973 and so he died before he turned 40.

Rest in peace, Amitabh Parekh.

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Infographics

How to make money on the internet

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Realty Video

The 100 Crore Apartment

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Links

Linkfest:Jan 11, 2013

Some stuff that I am reading today morning:

Gold is useful because it is useless (FirstPost)

US S&P 500 are back at 5 year high (ET)

India wastes 21 Million tonnes of wheat every year (FE)

Soon , Nifty futures on Osaka exchange (BS)

Govt may broaden scope of Rajiv Gandhi Equity Scheme (Mint)

Of Kingfisher and Mallya’s pot of gold (CapitalMind)

Howard Marks Memo to investors (OakTreeCapital)

Louis Dreyfus says China is manipulating the cotton market (Climateer)

Examining Ben Graham’s record:Skill or luck ? (Greenbackd)

What effect does living frugally play in the success of a trader? (SMB)

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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly:Arshiya International

This post is in continuation of my Forecasting Folly series (see here)

On 29th Dec, 2012, Dalal Street’s finest at Kotak Securities came out with their equity outlook for 2013.

As is their wont, they recommended 5 stocks for 2013.

And guess what, one of the stocks recommended was Arshiya International.The then prevailing price was Rs.118, a target price of Rs.188 was assigned to the stock.

A short two weeks later, the stock has collapsed due to allegations of corporate governance issues.Now it is quoting at 77.0 , one third of the then CMP and looks like it is set to go down even further.

Kotak’s response to this is typical of our brokerages here ; it has suspended coverage of the stock !!A note to clients  says

“The stock has declined by 40 percent over the last 12 months, largely driven by slowing economic growth which has led to less than estimated growth in segments like FTWZ/Container rail and high debt position. Given the above and lack of clarity on the alleged wrongdoing by the management we are suspending coverage on the stock till clarity emerges,”

This is probably a record in the Indian equity markets where a buy recommendation has collapsed in a space of two weeks !!

Forecasting folly, anyone?