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Links

Linkfest:Nov 29,2016

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

Modi’s Choice: Pay 50% else 85% (Mint)

Rural Downturn (BL)

Sheela Foam IPO opens today (FirstChoice IPO)

Here’s what Modi will do next (Forbes)

Decoding Modi’s political calculations (ET)

Interview with Udayan Mukherjee (Money Control)

The costliest mistake investors make (Irrelevant Investor)

These charts explain the EM selloff (ValueWalk)

Upto 8 Italian Banks may fail if Renzi loses referendum (ZeroHedge)

Efficiency is the highest form of beauty (Mr.Money Mustache)

Categories
Excerpts

Beware of the Taxman’s Wrath

Amid the panic and confusion caused by India’s ban on 86 percent of cash in circulation, there’s hope that the pain in the stock market won’t last beyond a quarter or two, and that everything will be hunky-dory once banks have dispensed enough new notes.

What if that optimism was unfounded?

Suppose that by the end of the year fund inflows double from the $75 billion already taken in by Indian lenders between Nov. 10 and Nov. 18. That would mean a return to the banking system of $150 billion, or roughly the entire stock of high-denomination cash held by the public before the ban.

To Modi’s government, that would signify an embarrassing win for money launderers’ shenanigans.  If authorities respond by registering tax claims on a fifth of new deposits — in proportion to the government’s own estimates of the size of the parallel economy — then up to $30 billion of money coming into banks could be immobilized by disputes.

 Even if all of it is ill-gotten, the signal such a large expropriation would send to other wealth owners could have a chilling effect on conspicuous consumption as well as purchase of new property

The taxman’s wrath, which would reveal itself only after the deposit surge tapers off, is yet to figure in investors’ calculations.-wrote Andy Mukherjee

Categories
Excerpts

Black Money:The Elephant in the Room

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Categories
Excerpts Observations

Modi as Hugo Chavez

In his radio address to the country yesterday, Modi’s speech was full of Us (Have Nots) Vs Them (Haves) rhetoric:

Some excerpts:

But vices are so widespread and deep-rooted that even today there are people whose vicious habits refuse to die. Even now, some people think that they can re-introduce into the system, money from corruption, black money, unaccounted wealth and Benami money (money in unknown person’s name), using some route or the other. They seek illegal means to save their ill-gotten wealth.

The saddest part is that, for this too, they have chosen to misuse the poor, the underprivileged people. By misguiding the poor, enticing them through the vices of avarice and temptation, wrongfully pumping money into their bank accounts, or getting them to undertake some wrong activities, some people are trying to save their black money.

I want to tell such people today –  whether you reform or not is up to you, whether you respect and follow the law or do otherwise is again up to you; of course, the law will take its own course to decide on the requisite action; but, for God’s sake, please do not play with the lives of poor people. Do not do anything that may bring the names of the poor on record for wrong reasons and land my dear poor people into trouble during the investigation later on account of your  foul deeds.

And the law regarding Benami property that has been enacted and is being implemented is very stringent and it is going to be extremely tough on wrong doers. The government does not wish that our countrymen should face undue hardships.

On the basis of reports received from about 45-50 cities, I gathered that demonetisation had encouraged people there to pay their arrears accumulated due to non-payment of dues earlier; many people were in the habit of not making tax payments such as water tax, electricity bills, etc., they just did not pay.

Now all of us know very well that the poor people always like to clear their dues 2-3 days in advance. It is the well-off people, who do not pay their taxes and bills as they have higher connections and know that nobody is going to ask or do anything against them

Err…do we now have a new Hugo Chavez in town?

His socialist rhetoric makes me think that Long Term Cap Gains Taxes are on its way for Equity Markets.

Categories
Links

Linkfest:November 28,2016

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

Modi As Marx-The Permanent Revolution (IE)

RBI Governor Urjit Patel speaks up (Mint)

On the RBI CRR hike (CM)

Bharat Bandh today (HT)

A look inside the secret world of Tata Trusts (ET)

Analysis: Indo Count Industries (Dr.Vijay Malik)

Indian dreams,thwarted by Trump (Bloomberg)

Demonetisation as I see it (Ambareesh Baliga)

Seinfeld’s 10 rules for Success (Big Picture)

Successful people initiate (Medium)