What is the Nifty Price to Book telling us

Jayant Manglik of Religare Securities recently wrote an article where he predicts that Nifty will cross 6600 by Dec this year.In the article, he states “our valuations are reasonable. Nifty price to book is at multi-year lows,”

I thought it would be interesting to see how the Nifty P/B fared over the years:

The current P/B of 3.07 is is certainly higher than the 5 year low hit on 27 Oct, 2008 when it was 2.12.The current P/B is however is slightly lower than the 5 Year average of 3.28 and 5 Year Median of 3.3

 

 

5 Stocks that have gained by more than 25% in first half of June 2013

This post is in continuation of my 5 Stocks Series (see here)

5 Stocks that have gained by more than 25% in first half of June 2013 is given in the table below:

Symbol Close on 31 May,2013 Close on 14 June,2013 Gain
LOKESHMACH 20.8 26.3 26.44%
WELPROJ 13.2 18 36.36%
CINEMAXIN 102.1 144.2 41.23%
MAHINDFORG 43.55 66.85 53.50%
MAHINDUGIN 41.95 65.25 55.54%

Linkfest:June 20,2013

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

Indian sub-continent to lose 14,000 sq km of land with rising sea level (BusinessLine)

SEBI trains its guns on Infosys (ET)

Bernanke says Fed to end asset purchases in 2014 (Mint)

Indian hedge funds seek foreign money (BS)

Zylog promoters accused of fraud (CapitalMind)

The streets erupt (Economist) (Hat Tip Mangala)

Marc Faber:People with assets are all doomed (DailyReckoning)

Giant bond manager sick of keep track of all these bonds (Dealbreaker)

Bill Nygren on Google (TRB)

High Frequency Trading is bad for profits (HuffingtonPost)

Why analyzing Indian realty stocks is a waste of time

I came across this article where a brokerage firm does a “Realty Stock Check”-which realty stocks to buy/hold.Found it fairly amusing that there was no “sell” in the title.

Brokerages tend to treat the realty business like any other business.But do they seriously believe that the balance sheet/p&l statements of a realtor reflect the true state of affairs?

Cold hard cash is the mother’s milk which runs the realty business in India.You need cash to buy the land (no land owner will settle for 100% white), you need cash to pay off the contractors,you need cash to manage the politicians, you need cash to manage the officials etc

In Mumbai, builders routinely pay a couple of crores even before construction starts.

When such a large part of the realty business is done off the books,then does looking at the balance sheet etc make any sense?

Realty stocks can be a good medium for speculation/punting.But if you want to make real money from realty, forget the stock and research the hard asset.

5 Stocks that crashed by more than 30% in the first half of June 2013

This post is in continuation of my 5 Stocks Series (see here)

5 Stocks that crashed by more than 30% in the first half of June 2013 is given in the table below:

Symbol Close on 31 May,2013 Close on 14 June,2013 Loss
HINDOILEXP 52.75 31.55 -40.19%
STCINDIA 165.05 101.4 -38.56%
EDUCOMP 55.1 34.75 -36.93%
TECPRO 69.95 45.25 -35.31%
ZYLOG 45.3 30.55 -32.56%