Categories
BookReview

Book Review: How to Get Lucky

The Book ‘How to Get Lucky’ is written by Max Gunther whose earlier Book ‘The Zurich Axioms’ is considered an investing classic.

We Indians very well know the importance of luck in life.In our chaotic country of 1.3 Billion people, we know that many things happen due to luck-good or bad.

The author starts with the premise that it isn’t enough to be good.You’ve got to be lucky too…the world is full of good, smart and hard working people…but without luck they can’t succeed

Luck being luck…is there any way to improve one’s chances of being lucky?Is there a way to be more lucky than unlucky?Are there any methods that lucky people use that unlucky ones don’t?

The author believes he has 13 techniques that can increase one’s chances of being lucky.They are:

  1. When you win something, acknowledge the role of luck in it.Don’t attribute the success only to your smarts and hard work.Especially true for bull market investors !
  2. Build connections, relationships and networks.The more people you know, the more opportunities come your way and the “luckier” you get
  3. Take risks.No risk, no gain.People who plod along, content with security and the comfort of a daily routine, rarely get lucky.Risk is a necessary ingredient of every successful life
  4. Don’t push your luck.Take money off the table…no tree goes to the sky
  5. Cut your losses if things are not going your way.Be comfortable with saying ‘I was wrong’ and move along
  6. Follow a zig-zag path.Be flexible.Have an open mind to new opportunities
  7. Luck really does not depend on God etc.It happens randomly.Yet if you believe prayers or harmless superstitions (like wearing a fav shirt) etc can help and comfort you, you can be true to your beliefs.Sometimes these beliefs can help in improving confidence and taking decisions
  8. Consider the worst-case analysis of any opportunity/risk
  9. Avoid excessive communication.Speak only when necessary.This will free you to explain and justify actions to other people
  10. Don’t mistake random events for “lessons to be learnt”.If you can’t identify the cause and effect, then the event is pure random.For e.g identifying repeatable patterns in stock prices etc
  11. Accept an unfair Universe.Fairness is a human concept.The rest of the universe knows nothing about it.So don’t go around thinking you “deserve” good luck or “didn’t deserve the tragedy that happened”
  12. Luckier people are busier people.They have so many side hustles going on that bad luck in one activity is often compensated by good luck in another
  13. Find your “destiny partner”….someone who can change your life and the quality of your luck

All in all, I found the Book to be an enjoyable quick read.

Do buy the Book to get more lucky !

 

Categories
Plug

Pre IPO : Bharat Hotels (The Lalit Group)

The Lalit Group of Hotels runs some of India’s finest hotels and is one of the largest private Hotel Chains in India.

It’s latest Annual Report can be downloaded from here.

They intend to list their shares and have taken shareholder approval for the same.

A very limited quantity of its shares are on offer for sale.

For those interested,please email me at Alpha Ideas

Categories
CoatTailing

Portfolio of Vespera Fund

This post is in continuation of my coat tailing series (see here)

To know what other top investors are  buying/holding/selling in India, subscribe to our Investor Wisdom Newsletter

Vespera Fund is a Mauritius Based Fund which invests in the Indian Equity Markets.

It’s significant Holdings as on 31 Dec,2017 as per Stock Exchanges is given below:

Company Name Symbol Entity Value (In Crores)
Adani Enterprises Ltd ADANIENT Vespera Fund Limited 234.37
Adani Transmission Ltd ADANITRANS Vespera Fund Limited 285.11
Rushil Décor Ltd RUSHIL VESPERA FUND LIMITED 28
Categories
Links

Linkfest: 09 April, 2018

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

PNB scam: ED unearths 5,000 Cr money trail (Mint)

Tata Sons set to discuss M&A plans of Group Cos (ET)

Global trade war fears increasing market volatility (BS)

Half of SME IPO issues trade below offer price (BL)

Inflows into Equity Funds lowest in 13 months (Quint)

Stock Talk: IndiGrid InvIT (Sana Securities)

Will somebody ask RBI Governor some tough questions (Quartz)

Trade Wars are good and easy to win (Macro Tourist)

Value down, but not out (Swedroe)

Geo political tensions are rising : Trump threatens Putin (Zero Hedge)

Categories
BookReview

Book Review: The Secret War with Iran

The Book ‘The secret war with Iran’ is written by Ronen Bergman who is considered to be one of the foremost writers on Mossad and Israeli Military Intelligence.

Trump has many times threatened to scrap the US-Iran deal in May. 2018. This can have major implications for the world oil markets since Iran is one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world.

The Book covers the period from 1979-2009 after the Shah of Iran was deposed and the Islamic regime of Ayatollah Khomeini took over.

The Book covers how the Shah was overthrown, how CIA and Mossad tried to sabotage the Iranian Islamic regime, how Iran exported its Iranian revolution abroad,about Iran’s chemical and nuclear programs etc

Some of the facts mentioned in the Book make for startling reading.

For instance, it was very surprising to know that the country which set Iran on the nuclear path was America !They supplied them with nuclear reactors when Shah was still around.

During the Iraq-Iran war, Iran was losing very badly to Saddam Hussein.The country that helped Iran with arms and ammunitions was Israel ! They did so mainly for the money and also to ensure that their Islamic foes are weakened by fighting a prolonged war.

Another astonishing fact is that Iran has very large facilities of Chemicals Weapons of Mass Destruction.They were able to get the raw material,factory blueprints etc from an Israeli who did it for the money.

One aspect in the Book that I found fascinating was that Iran and North Korea use their state currency presses to make master counterfeits of the US Dollar.They have apparently distributed Billions of fake US hundred dollar bills.

The Book covers the Lebanon-Israeli conflict in detail and explains the rise and rise of Hezbollah.The incidents mentioned in the book relating to spies,assassinations,hit jobs,tortures, hostage swapping,air strikes etc make for riveting reading.

There is one India reference in the Book…a Pakistani nuclear scientist applying for political asylum in the US stated that Pakistan intended to launch a peremptory nuclear strike against India.

Do buy this Book to know more about Iran,Israel and the bloody conflicts of the Middle East.