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ICICI Pru Life valued at Rs.38,000 Crores at ESOP sale

(Disclosure:I am market making in the shares of ICICI Pru Life)

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, the biggest private sector insurer, is being valued at $6 billion (Rs 38,000 crore) as per internal calculations based on the price at which employee stock options are sold. Though there’s no plan to list the firm anytime soon, the liberal Esop programme makes it a likely candidate in future.

The paid-up capital of the company increased Rs 31.6 lakh (face value) pursuant to exercise of stock options granted under the Employee Stock Option Scheme taking the paid-up capital to Rs 1,429 crore (face value) at March 31, 2014, according to the latest annual report. In 2007-08, the company had given an option to its employees to encash their Esops. At that time, employees who had exercised their stock options, sold their share at Rs 400 apiece, valuing the company at $11 billion.

According to the current valuation, ICICI Prudential is placed higher than other life insurance companies such as HDFC Life, which is valued at around Rs 18,000-20,000 crore. Prudential has the option to raise its stake in the joint venture to 49% as and when the regulations are liberalised. The foreign partner will have the option to increase its stake at a fair value.

If Prudential Plc wants to increase its stake by another 23%, it would have to bring in around Rs 7,250 crore. Around 0.2% of the company’s capital was given as part of Esop. They are allowed to grant share options up to 3% of the issued capital of the company. Many private life insurance companies had introduced the stock option programme.from ET

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RBL Bank:Fast Growth was part of the plan

(Disclosure:I am market making in the shares of Ratnakar Bank)
Ahuja and his team have hoisted the sails of RBL to favourable winds. Its net advances and demand deposits soared over 50 per cent to Rs 9,835 crore and Rs 2,341 crore, respectively, in the past four years. In terms of size, it logged assets worth Rs 18,198 crore last fiscal and added 51 branches, widening its overall reach to 185 branches and 350 ATMs, with more than five lakh clients.  
 
While intending to grow at a fast pace, RBL has managed to trim instances of credit defaults and a resultant NPA pile-up. Its gross and net NPAs stood at 0.79 per cent and 0.31 per cent, respectively — among the lowest in the industry. RBL has grown in the range of 40-50 per cent across key business parameters, making it the ‘Fastest Growing Small Bank’ in the BW | Businessworld-PwC Best Banks Survey 2014. 
 
“Fast growth was part of the plan,” says Ahuja. “We were a small bank, with a balance sheet size of less than Rs 2,500 crore in 2010. Now, we are above Rs 20,000 crore and growing. We’re operating on a small base, but it’s more difficult to grow a small bank in a market with so many sophisticated players. It becomes even more difficult when there are legacy issues to sort out.” 
The bank is focusing on expanding its customer base and not particularly the balance sheet. Mid- and low-market rural customers are still its focus. The bank has reached out to smaller markets in Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh. It disburses about one-third of its loans to farmers, small businesses and low-income consumers.
 
“Our model is more credit-led than deposit-led,” says Ahuja. “Our development banking/ financial inclusion vertical is initially credit-led. Once you have sufficient penetration and basic savings accounts, the pipeline is in place. That is when we lay out our other products — starting from a basic account to small remittances, then some balances and some other products.” 
 
RBL plans to hit the equities market with a public offering, which market sources say may be worth Rs 1,250 crore. Besides raising capital, the public issue would provide an exit route to many of RBL’s private equity investors. “The top five-eight investors will stay with us even after the IPO,” predicts Ahuja.from BusinessWorld
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Behavioral Biases that affect your investing

Bias

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Compound Effort

Starting out in life, young people are practically interchangeable parts. They leave school not knowing much of anything. If they can read and write clearly, they have an advantage over most college graduates. But school doesn’t prepare them very well for real life. School problems are bounded, controlled, and simplified. Usually, they are idealized, with the confusing parts taken out. In history, for example, they are taught broad themes…and specific ‘facts.’ But the sequence of events in real life doesn’t follow simple scripts. Instead, it is endlessly complex.

In every discipline, the phenomenon is the same – in school, the complexities of real life are removed so that students can be tested on set groups of memorable, learnable, understandable bits of stripped-down, sanitized ‘knowledge.’

That is why more education does not always lead to more success in the real world. In fact, it could go in the opposite direction. The better you get at handling the artificial world of academia, the worse you may do at solving the real world’s infinitely nuanced challenges.

Problem solving in the academic world typically involves a part of the brain – but only a part of the brain. It is the ‘rational’ part…the part that remembers facts, reads, writes, and connects the dots. That is the skill measured by the SAT tests, for example. They are tests of ‘scholastic aptitude.’ And they are pretty good at measuring what they are supposed to measure. If you able to do the kind of tricks the tests require, you’ll be able to handle the kind of work they give you in school.

But life sends very different tests your way. Life’s tests involve many, many more variables – so many that your ‘rational’ mind is frequently overwhelmed. The human face, for example, is capable of hundreds…or thousands…of different expressions. Some people seem better able to read these messages than others.

In the world of textbooks, other people scarcely matter. You read. You write. You check the boxes. But once you get into a workplace, you are faced with an entirely new test. How well can you get along with others, motivate them, lead them?

In school, tests are anticipated. In real life, you never know when you will be tested. You never know what you will be tested on. And even when you are in the middle of an important test, you often don’t know it.

In some careers you are able to apply the body of knowledge you picked up in school, but not many. In most careers, you have to learn on the job – a new body of knowledge, often additional, sometimes completely new and different. And unless your job is to throw the switch on a toll bridge, or to collect tolls on a toll road, your new knowledge is likely to involve a great many things that are uncertain…unknowable…and variable.

Even in ‘routine’ careers there is still plenty of room for career advancement and money-making. But it requires you to step beyond the routine. If you are a schoolteacher, for example, you might have to write a book on education…or start a school of your own. Or, if you are a carpenter, you could set up a carpentry business…or use your skills to build something rare and interesting enough that it could be sold at high margin…or mass produced.

Generally, the more formulaic the work, the less scope for making money at it. The more limited, that is to say, the more like school any job is, the less likely you are to turn it into a source of wealth, power, or outsize success.

But assuming you are doing something that is not routine, not formulaic, and not limited (an assembly-line worker, for example, may be able to earn a good living…but it is not a way to build a fortune), what is the secret to making a success of it? Ah, glad you asked. At least part of the secret is sticking to it. Here’s why…

If your work is not simple and not formulaic, you need to use a fair amount of creative thinking, innovation and entrepreneurship to get ahead. Sometimes your work can be reduced to simple, school-like thinking. More often, it is more complex…involving subtle judgments about people…guesses about how others will react…mastering new technology and leadership skills needed to get others to follow your plan, and so forth. It may involve raising money…’selling’ your ideas…taking a chance on a new career or a new business…convincing clients to leave their habitual sources…or convincing employees to work harder…or better.

You may have to develop a new product. Or, maybe you have an insight that tells you how to invest your firm’s resources more productively.

Whatever it is, it is likely to require more than your ‘school brain’ to make it happen. It is likely to involve wisdom…intuition…and ‘people skills.’ It is likely to require more of you – your brain…your personality…your heart. And maybe soul too.

It is likely to require trusted contacts, seasoned hunches, educated guesses…

Where do these things come from?

Malcolm Gladwell’s book, Outliers, makes the point that there is no secret to success. Successful people just put in more hours than other people. Our point today is similar. Success is usually the product of compound effort over time. It takes time to develop contacts. It takes time to develop trust – both of your own team and outside clients/customers/associates. It takes time and experience to develop the hunches and instincts that are useful in real life. It takes time too to understand other people and learn how to work with them. It also takes time to build a foundation of human and financial capital that allows you to take advantage of the insights and opportunities that experience bring you.

Time does not work in a linear, mathematical way. As with compound interest, time pays off geometrically. As contacts, experiences, wisdom, innovations and intuition are added one to another, your opportunities multiply. A $100,000 deal that you might have done when you were 25 grows into a $1 million deal 5 years later. And instead of doing two deals a year…you might do 10 a year.

This is also why it is so important to put in lots of time. Gladwell refers to the Beatles, major league athletes and people such as Bill Gates. In every case, he found that the leading figures in their industries put in thousands of hours – usually far more than their competitors. They may appear to be ‘gifted.’ Their achievements may seem effortless. But they are almost always the product of time.

Not only that, but the time spent at the end is much more powerful than the time at the beginning. You can see this by looking at charts of compound interest. Starting from a low base, the first series of compound interest produce little difference. But at the end, the results are spectacular.

Start with a penny. Double it every day. At the end of a week you are still only adding 32 cents per day. By the end of the third week, however, you’re adding more than $10,000 per day. So you see, the last increments of time are much more important than the first.

It doesn’t exactly work that way in real life, of course. Hang around too long and you get tired…and the lessons you’ve learned might not be applicable to the new realities. Suppose, for example, that you had learned to make the perfect buggy whip, at age 55, in 1910! Or imagine that you were the leading expert on silent movies…just before the ‘talkies’ started. Or maybe you were cornering the classified advertising market…just as Craigslist and eBay made their appearance.

But aside from that kind of a setback, time compounds your advantages. At age 20, you may know less than everyone in your business. But then, you work 10 hours a day, while others only work 8 hours. In 20 years, you may know more than just about anyone. Then, who gets the new contracts? Who finds the new opportunities? Who has pricing power?

Who makes money?

Compound interest works because each addition is then put in service to earn another increment of gain. Compound effort works the same way. Every insight, innovation and useful contact helps bring on another, bigger and better one.

Remember, success is competitive. While you are adding to your business capital, your competitors tend to wear out…move on…or retire. Sticking to it is not easy. People tend to get distracted. They often want easier, simpler, faster opportunities. They give up their accumulated capital…and take up something new. That leaves you in a commanding position.

Stick to it.

wrote Bill Bonner

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Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on trading and investing

Source:Kiran D
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