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ForecastingFolly

Forecasting Folly:Tulip Telecom

This post in in continuation of my Forecasting Folly series.

I have been asked by some of my readers why I am writing these kind of posts when most people know that sell side recommendations are shit anyways.Well, the answer is for my own personal amusement !!

The stock I am covering today is Tulip Telecom.

On Nov 8, 2011, Emkay Global Services put out a buy on Tulip Telecom.

Then the prevailing price was around Rs.150/share. Emkay Global in its wisdom put out a price target of Rs.218/share…an expected return of 45%

Instead, the stock crashed over the next months to close at 36.65 today…a whopping loss of around 76%.

A recent article in ET explains the travails of this beleaguered company which is struggling to pay the salaries of its employees.

Forecasting Folly, anyone ?

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Video

Warren Buffett hams it up on Daily Show

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Links

Linkfest:Nov 29, 2012

Some stuff I am reading today morning:

Goldman Sachs upgrades India to overweight (Reuters)

India to launch world’s biggest cash to poor program (WSJ)

Maruti pleads inability to pay 1200 Crores (ET)

Indian companies second worse in fraud (FE)

An anti India coup in Male (Mint)

Health Insurance:How to make a claim (Ramadvice)

Indian family fights for justice (Bloomberg)

The investor is fleeing and other market myths (BusinessWeek)

Assholes: A theory (Macleans)

Remembering legendary investor John Templeton (BusinessInsider)

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Stock

The soaring Jet Airways

Jet airways has shot up from Rs.400 on 19th Nov, 2012 to Rs.542 on 27th Nov, 2012…a whopping gain of 35% in just one week.

The price movement has been attributed to talks being held between Jet Airways and Eithad Airlines for the latter to pick up a stake/enter a partnership with Jet.

We have seen this happen time and again with various deals …the latest instance being the United Spirits deal.

Now, in any country, such rampant rigging up of stock would invite regulatory scrutiny.But in India, such sharp price spikes are par for the course.Our regulator SEBI is fast asleep and has no inclination of ever waking up.

Methinks SAC’s Cohen should open an office here !

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Video

NSE’s Ravi Narain:Enormous room for derivatives in India