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Why Jim Rogers hates India

“As usual, we attracted a crowd.A local man walked up behind my fiancee Paige  and put his hand on her bottom.She spun around, and there he stood,making no attempt to disassociate himself from the offense,assuming,it seemed, that he had every right to do what he had done.

To appreciate what happened next,one must remember that in India women are the lowest of the low.To call them second class does not come close.They are treated more as property than as human beings.Out in the villages,just to take one example,women are not allowed to leave their homes without the permission of their fathers or husbands.

Paige turned on this particular man,grabbed him by the shirtfront,and started smacking him.She hit him three times.Startled and clearly horrified,he scurried off as soon as he could extricate himself.It was probably the most humiliating thing that could ever happen to the man,being beaten by a woman in public,in front of all the men and women of the village.”-wrote Jim Rogers in his book,Adventure Capitalist

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Excerpts

Nilesh Shah: Things have started moving…

  • I met a road contractor. He bided for the NHAI project on e-tender basis and got the LOA (letter of approval) in three hours on email. In previous era, it used to take six months. The government is planning to spend four times more than last year for building roads. It will be fair to say that ‘acche din’ (good days) are coming for the road sector.
  • I met an iron ore miner. As you are aware, many iron ore mines are closed due to court orders. India had to import iron ore in last few years to run its steel plants. Iron Ore mining is likely to begin in Odisha in near future boosting domestic production by more than 20%. Many coal mines will also become operational post auctions to sustain mining boom.
  • I met a Railway contractor. He mentioned that railway orders have started flowing with transparency in tendering. As the rules of games are changing there is a little bit of turmoil as old business models are giving way for new and better business models.
  • I met a power equipment supplier who mentioned that there is a hope for future as PSUs have started giving orders.-wrote Nilesh Shah, MD Kotak Asset Management
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Conferences

Notes from Traders Carnival 2015 Conference-Day 3

The guest post below has been written by Haresh Nagpal. Haresh  has more than 20 years of experience in the Indian Financial Markets and is very well respected in the financial community.

His Notes of the Traders Carnival 2015 Conference-Day 1 and Day 2 can be obtained from here and here

 

On the Third Day ,the first Session was by Shubham Aggarwal from Motilal Oswal brokerage on Quant strategies.

He strongly believed that in 15 years from now trading will not be human to human but machine to machine war.He was talking about ROBO Traders. Shubham showed some of systems they have developed and will soon be available for retail.

Key Learning :
When ADX is less then 20 do not trade or use mean reversion techniques.

The Next Session was by Brijesh Bhatia ,The Bat Man on Harmonics Patterns .I think it is not easy to learn Harmonics but full credit to Brijesh that in two hours he made it look so easy and made every one at least pick up those ABCD patterns. At the end of his session, almost all TC participants were thinking of dragons, bats, butterflies, bats and crabs . These are the Harmonic Patterns Brijesh discussed in his session  .

The Next Session was by Nooresh Merani , a good friend who gave his presentation on “How to become a Full time trader “  .He has shared his presentation on his blog.

At the end, he compared the Dow Jones and Sensex pointing to  some huge targets for the index in long run.

Next Session was by Deepak Shenoy of Capital Mind fame on Trading using macros ,market breadth etc .He explained some unique ways of trading markets looking at DESI MO ,% of Shares trading above 20 Day Moving average and below  20 day in Nifty and Put call ratio .

In the last slide, Deepak told the reason why FIIs are selling in India- IPOs in China are hitting 10% Circuit from last 30 days.He gave example of one such company BEJING BAOFENG TECH CO LTD. Lets Trade in China Guys !!

The Last Session was by Rajandran R of Marketcalls fame.For him, Market is his wife till he finds one.He  shared his strategy REGIME SWITCHING and told a new Monkey story in which experts don’t do much .

Key Take away from Story
  • It is not possible to beat the market all the time even for experts and the monkeys .
  • Right Knowledge is required rather than Maximum Knowledge .
His strategy is to find Auto correlation.and then:
  • If Auto correlation < 0 use mean reversion strategies
  • If Auto correlation > 0 use Trend following method

His message in end “ THINK LIKE A MACHINE WITH A COMMON SENSE “

Some of the learnings and quotes  from fellow participants:
  •  Manish Shah: In Fundamentals you first lose funds and then you lose your mental.
  • Sriram:  It is sometimes good to keep your money in bank .

In the end I wish to congratulate  DJ and Rekha ,the organizers along with TC Core team for the good show.See you next year folks .Good Bye.

 

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Saheb,Biwi Aur…

Source:Steve Burns