Book Review: The CRISIL Story

Disappointed.

This is the feeling I had after finishing reading “The Crisil Story” By Hemanth Gorur and Sumit Chowdhury

I am fond of CRISIL as I started my career in India at Nirlon House,Mumbai where CRISIL used to be head quartered.

If only I had bought CRISIL stock then,I would be chillaxing in the Bahamas !

Anyways,this book is a disappointment as it does not justice to the CRISIL story.

Setting up an independent ratings agency without any international collaboration is a humongous achievement.Starting from scratch to the heights it has reached today is a story of Indian ingenuity,grit,integrity and intelligence

Yet the authors fail to capture the drama and the excitement of this story.

Instead,the book is a tedious read with a hagiographic account of the events that transpired.

Hopefully, some one else will come along who can write a better book on CRISIL.

Till that time,we will have to make do with this one.

Portfolio of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

This post is in continuation of my coat tailing series (see here)

To know what other top investors are  buying/holding/selling in India, subscribe to our Investor Wisdom Newsletter

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is probably the biggest Indian individual investor in the Indian Equity Markets.

His and his wife’s significant holdings in India aggregating around Rupees 7770 Crores (~1.2 Billion $) as on 30 June,2015 as per Stock Exchanges is given below:

Company Symbol/BSE Code Entity Date End # of Shares % Value (In Crores)
Adinath Exim Resources Limited 532056 JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH 201506 98554 2.4 0.15
Agro Tech Foods Limited ATFL JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESYAM 201506 1153700 4.73 68.04
Agro Tech Foods Limited ATFL JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 524559 2.15 30.94
Anant Raj Limited ANANTRAJ SHRI JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 9500000 3.22 38.57
APTECH LIMITED APTECHT Rare Equity Pvt Ltd 201506 9933496 24.9 53.64
APTECH LIMITED APTECHT Rakesh Jhunjhunwala 201506 4319100 10.83 23.32
APTECH LIMITED APTECHT Rekha Jhunjhunwala 201506 2555977 6.41 13.8
Aurobindo Pharma Limited AUROPHARMA JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 4000000 1.37 293.9
Autoline Industries Limited AUTOIND JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 520000 4.21 3.13
Autoline Industries Limited AUTOIND JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 731233 5.93 4.41
Bilcare Limited 526853 JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH 201506 1735425 7.37 13.7
Bilcare Limited 526853 JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 267500 1.14 2.08
CRISIL Limited CRISIL Jhunjhunwala Rakesh and Rekha 201506 4000000 5.6 781.5
D B Realty Limited DBREALTY Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201506 5000000 2.06 30.25
Delta Corp Limited DELTACORP Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 10500000 4.55 83.32
Delta Corp Limited DELTACORP Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201506 7500000 3.25 59.51
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Limited DHFL JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 5000000 3.43 249.15
Edelweiss Financial Services Limited EDELWEISS JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 10000000 1.26 64.35
Escorts Limited ESCORTS JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 9975000 8.14 144.14
Firstsource Solutions Limited FSL Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 25000000 3.75 80
Fortis Healthcare Limited FORTIS Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 5000000 1.08 92.9
Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Limited GEOJITBNPP Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 18037500 7.76 94.52
Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Limited GEOJITBNPP Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201506 4500000 1.94 23.58
Geometric Limited GEOMETRIC JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 8211250 12.72 94.59
Geometric Limited GEOMETRIC RAKESH RADHESHYAM JHUNJHUNWALA 201506 3000000 4.65 34.56
Geometric Limited GEOMETRIC REKHA JHUNJHUNWALA 201506 990000 1.53 11.4
Intellect Design Arena Limited INTELLECT Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201506 3750000 3.75 43.37
ION EXCHANGE INDIA LTD 500214 Jhunjhunwala Rakesh 201506 800000 5.51 18.96
Karur Vysya Bank Limited KARURVYSYA JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201503 3636897 2.99 171.84
Kesoram Industries Limited KESORAMIND Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201503 5000000 4.56 43.08
Lupin Limited LUPIN JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 6527605 1.45 1091.48
Man Infraconstruction Limited MANINFRA Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 3000000 1.21 12.75
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company Limited MBECL Rakesh Radheshyam Jhunjhunwala 201506 500000 1.23 4.88
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company Limited MBECL Rekha Rakesh Jhunjhunwala 201506 3498349 8.62 34.11
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited MCX Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 2010000 3.94 226.12
NCC Limited NCC JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 45233266 8.24 394.89
NCC Limited NCC RAKESH JHUNJHUNWALA 201506 11600000 2.09 101.27
Orient Cement Limited ORIENTCEM Jhunjhunwala Rakesh Radheshyam 201506 2500000 1.22 46.52
POLARIS CONSULTING & SERVICES LIMITED POLARIS JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 4750000 4.75 95.64
Prakash Industries Limited PRAKASH JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 4000000 2.97 12.14
Prozone Intu Properties Limited PROZONINTU RAKESH JHUNJHUNWALA 201506 3150000 2.06 10.63
Rallis India Limited RALLIS Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala 201506 20105820 10.34 472.19
Rallis India Limited RALLIS Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala 201506 20105820 10.34 472.19
Titan Company Limited TITAN JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 59650645 6.72 2028.72
Titan Company Limited TITAN JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 16966075 1.91 577.02
TV18 Broadcast Limited TV18BRDCST Jhunjhunwala Rekha Rakesh 201506 44560000 2.6 150.61
Viceroy Hotels Limited VICEROY JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201506 5707566 13.46 9.13
Viceroy Hotels Limited VICEROY JHUNJHUNWALA REKHA RAKESH 201506 500000 1.18 0.8
VIP Industries Limited VIPIND JHUNJHUNWALA RAKESH RADHESHYAM 201503 3655500 2.59 35.66
VIP Industries Limited VIPIND RAKESH JHUNJHUNWALA 201503 6315000 4.47 61.6

Forecasting Folly:Spanco

This post is in continuation of my forecasting folly series (see here)

I had blogged earlier about Crisil’s forecasting accomplishments (see here).

But this example is quite outrageous in its own right.

On July 28, 2011, Crisil maintained a valuation grade of 5/5 on Spanco and gave it a fair value of Rs.289 per share.Then the prevailing price of Spanco was around 130 Rs.

One year later, on June 04, 2012 , Crisil continued to maintain its valuation grade of 5/5 on Spanco and retained its fair value of Rs.289 per share.Then the prevailing price was Rs.66 per share.

Any investor could have been forgiven for thinking that this is a deal of a lifetime.You have the brilliant minds at Crisil valuing the fair price of a stock around 5x times the market price.

What followed in the next months was a complete collapse in the stock price.Now the stock is trading at 16 Rs !!

Forecasting folly, anyone ?