This post is in continuation of my Forecasting Folly series (see here)
On 29th Dec, 2012, Dalal Street’s finest at Kotak Securities came out with their equity outlook for 2013.
As is their wont, they recommended 5 stocks for 2013.
And guess what, one of the stocks recommended was Arshiya International.The then prevailing price was Rs.118, a target price of Rs.188 was assigned to the stock.
A short two weeks later, the stock has collapsed due to allegations of corporate governance issues.Now it is quoting at 77.0 , one third of the then CMP and looks like it is set to go down even further.
Kotak’s response to this is typical of our brokerages here ; it has suspended coverage of the stock !!A note to clients says
“The stock has declined by 40 percent over the last 12 months, largely driven by slowing economic growth which has led to less than estimated growth in segments like FTWZ/Container rail and high debt position. Given the above and lack of clarity on the alleged wrongdoing by the management we are suspending coverage on the stock till clarity emerges,”
This is probably a record in the Indian equity markets where a buy recommendation has collapsed in a space of two weeks !!
Forecasting folly, anyone?